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“Auction Fever” Pushing Irish Home Prices Beyond Value, ESRI Report Warns

Chief Editor by Chief Editor
February 9, 2026
in National News
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"Auction Fever" Pushing Irish Home Prices Beyond Value, ESRI Report Warns

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Buying a home in Ireland has become a high-stakes psychological game that is driving property prices to inflated levels, according to a groundbreaking study released today. The report, a collaboration between the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) and the Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (CCPC), reveals that the current bidding systems used across the country are designed in a way that encourages “overbidding” and financial risk-taking.

The Experiment: Open vs. Sealed Bids

Researchers conducted a behavioural experiment with over 800 participants, including homeowners and prospective buyers. They simulated different bidding scenarios: “Open Auctions” (via online platforms or estate agents) and “Sealed Bids” (where all buyers submit one secret offer).

The results were striking. Participants in open auctions were much more likely to ignore their pre-set budgets. The study found that the transparency of seeing other bids actually created a “competitive frenzy,” leading people to bid higher than they believed the house was actually worth. In contrast, those in sealed-bid scenarios tended to stay closer to their original financial limits.

The Psychology of “Auction Fever” The report identifies two main psychological drivers:

  1. Auction Fever: The sheer adrenaline of competition makes buyers focus on “beating” others rather than the value of the asset.
  2. Loss Aversion: The fear of losing a home they have already “mentally moved into” pushes buyers to offer more money just to end the process.

A Market of Stress and Delays

The study also surveyed recent homebuyers and found a significant increase in transactional stress. Over 80% of people who bought a home in the last three years experienced major hurdles. The most common issues were conveyancing delays (legal paperwork taking too long) and unexpected costs. Many buyers reported that the process took months longer than anticipated, leading to increased anxiety and financial strain.

Knowledge Gaps and Misconceptions

One of the most concerning findings was the lack of legal knowledge among buyers.

  • Only 20% of buyers were aware that an estate agent can legally continue to market a property even after it has gone “Sale Agreed.”
  • Many participants wrongly believed that paying a deposit meant the house was legally theirs, unaware that either party can pull out of the deal without penalty until the final contracts are signed.
  • Roughly 14% of buyers suspected “ghost bidding” had occurred, reflecting a deep-seated distrust in the transparency of the current system.

Calls for Reform

The CCPC has used this report to demand urgent changes to Irish property law. They are advocating for a “Seller’s Pack” system, where all legal and structural information about a house must be provided before bidding begins. This would reduce delays and prevent buyers from finding expensive problems after they have already won the auction.

“Homebuyers are navigating a system they don’t fully understand,” said Dr. Deirdre Robertson of the ESRI. “The current bidding culture is inflating prices and causing record levels of stress.”

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